东亚夏季环流多齿轮耦合特征及其对中国夏季降水异常的影响分析     

庞轶舒  祝从文  马振峰  秦宁生 《大气科学》2019,43(4):875-894

东亚夏季风成员的相互作用,构成了东亚夏季风高、低层环流的“多齿轮耦合”形态。本文利用多变量主成分分析（MV-EOF）等方法诊断分析了东亚夏季风多齿轮耦合的变化特征、耦合机制、时间稳定性、空间稳定特征及其对中国夏季降水的影响机制,并在此基础上构建了典型多齿轮耦合形态影响夏季降水的概念模型。结果表明,多齿轮耦合受到垂直温、压场的强迫和青藏高原大地形的影响,主要表现在年际变化上（周期为2～6年）。其前两个模态稳定地反映了东亚夏季风成员典型联动作用。在第一模态中,北方气旋、南亚高压和西太平洋副热带高压为主要耦合系统。其中北方气旋为正压结构,在高层通过南侧偏西气流与南亚高压耦合,南亚高压则通过中纬东部地区下沉辐散气流与西太平洋副热带高压联动。当该耦合模态增强时,有利于中国夏季降水呈自北向南“＋－＋－”分布。第二模态主要反映中高纬气旋、东亚副热带西风气流、南亚高压、西北太平洋反气旋系统和西太平洋副热带高压耦合特征。其中,中高纬气旋和西北太平洋反气旋为正压系统,两者通过其间的东南气流联动。气旋系统在高层通过南侧西风与东亚副热带西风急流和南亚高压联动。反气旋在中低层通过南侧的偏东气流影响副热带高压强度和面积。当该耦合模态增强时,中国黄河以北及河套地区降水偏多,黄河以南降水偏少。  相似文献   

太阳辐射管理地球工程对海洋酸化影响的模拟研究     

温作龙  姜玖  曹龙 《气候变化研究进展》2019,15(1):41-53

研究地球工程对海洋酸化的影响对于评估地球工程对全球气候和环境的影响有重要意义。文中使用中等复杂程度的地球系统模式,模拟了典型CO₂高排放情景RCP8.5下,实施太阳辐射管理地球工程对海洋表面的pH和文石（碳酸钙的一种亚稳形态）饱和度的影响,并定量分析了各环境因子对海洋酸化影响的机理。模拟结果表明,在RCP8.5情景下,到2100年,相对于工业革命前水平,全球海洋表面平均pH下降了0.43,文石饱和度下降了1.77。相对于RCP8.5情景,2100年地球工程情景下全球海洋表面平均pH增加了0.003,而文石饱和度降低了0.16。地球工程通过改变溶解无机碳、碱度、温度等环境因子影响海洋酸化。相对于RCP8.5情景,实施地球工程引起的溶解无机碳浓度的增加使pH和文石饱和度均减小,碱度的增加使pH和文石饱和度均增大,温度的降低使pH增大而使文石饱和度减小。总体而言,太阳辐射管理地球工程可以降低全球温度,但无法减缓海洋酸化。  相似文献   

CMIP6通量距平强迫模式比较计划（FAFMIP）概况与评述     

王雅琦  刘海龙  靳江波  林鹏飞  马金峰  李逸文  于子棚  杨茜  孙志阔  丁梦蓉  孟瑶 《气候变化研究进展》2019,15(5):481-486

通量距平强迫模式比较计划（FAFMIP）是第六次国际耦合模式比较计划（CMIP6）的子计划之一。FAFMIP共设计了5组试验,利用CMIP6中的大气-海洋耦合环流模式（AOGCM）对海表施加动量通量、热通量和淡水通量扰动,旨在研究在CO₂强迫下模式模拟的海洋热吸收,由热膨胀引起的全球平均海平面上升,及由海洋密度和环流导致的动力海平面变化等方面的不确定性。  相似文献   

Indian Ocean Dipole-related Predictability Barriers Induced by Initial Errors in the Tropical Indian Ocean in a CGCM     

Rong FENG  Wansuo DUAN 《大气科学进展》2019,36(6):658-668

利用GFDL CM2p1模式, 本文探讨了初始海温误差对印度洋偶极子(IOD)事件可预报性的影响. 当热带印度洋存在初始海温误差时, IOD预报发生了冬季预报障碍(WPB)现象和夏季预报障碍(SPB)现象. WPB发生与否与正IOD事件发展位相冬季的厄尔尼诺-南方涛动(ENSO)有关. 即当冬季存在ENSO时, IOD预测不发生WPB现象, 反之亦然. 相比之下, SPB发生与否和ENSO没有必然联系. 此外, 进一步探讨了最容易导致SPB现象的初始海温误差的主要模态, 指出该模态在热带印度洋上表现为东-西偶极子型, 这和前人研究中最容易导致WPB现象的初始海温误差模态相似. 当在热带印度洋上叠加这些初始海温误差后, 热带太平洋上出现了海表温度异常和风场异常, 进而通过大气桥和印尼贯穿流的作用影响热带印度洋, 使之在夏季出现了东-西偶极子型的海表温度异常, 该异常在Bjerknes作用下快速发展, 加强, 最终导致SPB现象的发生.  相似文献   

Generation of oceanic internal gravity waves by a cyclonic surface stress disturbance     

《Dynamics of Atmospheres and Oceans》2019

Atmospheric cyclones with strong winds significantly impact ocean circulation, regional sea surface temperature, and deep water formation across the global oceans. Thus they are expected to play a key role in a variety of energy transport mechanisms. Even though wind-generated internal gravity waves are thought to contribute significantly to the energy balance of the deep ocean, their excitation mechanisms are only partly understood.The present study investigates the generation of internal gravity waves during a geostrophic adjustment process in a Boussinesq model with axisymmetric geometry. The atmospheric disturbance is set by an idealized pulse of cyclonic wind stress with a Rankine vortex structure. Strength, radius and duration of the forcing are varied. The effect upon wave generation of stratification with variable mixed-layer depth is also examined.Results indicate that internal gravity waves are generated after approximately one inertial period. The outward radial energy flux is dominated by waves having structure close to vertical mode-1 and with frequency close to the inertial frequency. Less energetic higher mode waves are observed to be generated close to the sea floor underneath the storm. The total radiated energy corresponds to approximately 0.02% of the wind input. Deeper mixed-layer conditions as well as weaker stratification reduce this fraction.The low energy transfer rates suggest that other processes that drive vertical motion like surface heat fluxes, turbulent motion, mixed region collapse and storm translation are essential for significant energy extraction by internal gravity waves to occur.  相似文献   

东亚副热带西风急流的变化特征     

王天奇  王鹏凯 《黑龙江气象》2019,36(1):21-23

利用1979-2013年NCEP/NCAR再分析资料研究了东亚副热带西风急流的变化特征。结果表明:东亚副热带西风急流中心位置、强度有明显的季节变化,冬季偏东偏南、强度最强,夏季偏北偏西、强度最弱。冬半年东亚副热带西风急流南界、北界年际变化的幅度大,夏半年幅度较小。冬季、春季东亚副热带西风急流范围较大,秋季、夏季小,一年内,偏大年或偏小年的出现不具有季节的连续性。  相似文献   

2017-2018年冬季黑龙江省气温异常成因分析     

班晋  李永生  赵佳莹  孙镆涵 《黑龙江气象》2019,36(1):14-17,23

2017-2018年冬季全省平均气温为-19.7℃,较历年同期偏低2.2℃,为1981年以来的第3位,仅次于2000年和2012年。本文利用NCEP再分析资料,对2017-2018年黑龙江省冬季气温异常成因进行分析,结果表明大气环流的异常是造成黑龙江省冬季气温异常偏低的直接原因。东亚季风环流系统表现为:东亚冬季风强度偏强,西伯利亚高压偏强,500hPa东亚大槽异常偏深。分析下垫面外强迫因素,2017-2018年赤道中东太平洋出现拉尼娜事件,分析显示拉尼娜事件发生可能导致冬季风偏强,从而也是造成全省气温偏低的主要原因之一。  相似文献   

陕北奥陶纪盐盆马五6时期东、西部盐坳沉积环境对比研究     

樊馥  张永生  郑绵平  苏奎  邢恩袁 《地质学报》2015,89(11):2141-2151

陕北奥陶纪盐盆位于鄂尔多斯盆地伊陕斜坡东部。研究表明:马五6亚期,盐盆存在"两坳一隆"的构造格局,即东、西部盐坳和中部隆起,东、西部盐坳在钾矿化情况、溴氯系数反映的水体咸化趋势方面初步显示了陕北盐盆东、西部沉积环境的差异。本文通过东、西部盐坳典型钻井马五6层位沉积学分析,揭示了马五6时期东、西部盐坳在水体深度变化、浓缩趋势、含钾量、淡化层段厚度、陆源物质输入方面均存在差异。其中,西部盐坳受海水影响大,水体变浅且持续淡化,泥质分布反映陆源物质贡献少,对钾盐的沉积与保存均十分不利。而东部盐坳受海水影响小,与西部盐坳水体联通性差,在马五6时期环境更为封闭,具体表现为淡化夹层分布数量少、厚度薄的特征;水体持续变深并浓缩咸化;泥质夹层较多,反映了相较于西部,陆源物质对其影响更大,上述特点为钾盐沉积提供了有利的地球化学条件及可容空间。东、西部盐坳沉积环境对比表明东部盐坳对成钾更为有利。  相似文献   

Combining geographic information systems and ethnography to better understand and plan ocean space use     

《Applied geography (Sevenoaks, England)》2015

Agencies in the US with oversight for marine renewable energy development idealistically have sought space where this new use might proceed unhindered by other uses. Despite experiential evidence of spatial overlap among existing ocean uses, a lack of documentation made the identification of potential space-use conflicts, communication between existing and potential ocean users, and the design of mitigation exceedingly challenging.We conducted a study along the US Atlantic and Pacific coasts to gather and document available spatial information on existing use through a compilation and organization of geographic information system (GIS) data. Stakeholder group meetings were used to vet the collected spatial data, and ethnographic interviews were conducted to gather knowledge and cultural perspectives. Results show extensive coverage and overlap of existing ocean space uses and provide a visualization of the social and cultural landscape of the ocean that managers can use to determine which stakeholders to engage.Marine resource managers are encouraged to recognize that marine space use is dynamic and multi-dimensional and as such research thereof requires a balance between the efficiency of GIS and the stories captured and told by ethnographic research. There are important linkages within and across fisheries and other uses, communities and interests, and across the land–sea interface. Therefore, it is important to use techniques demonstrated in this research that (1) integrate ethnographic and geospatial data collection and analysis; (2) engage stakeholders throughout the process; and (3) recognize the unique qualities of each geographic location and user group to support sound decision-making.  相似文献   

Evaluation of the relative roles of global versus local sedimentary controls on Middle to Late Pleistocene formation of continental margin strata,Canterbury Basin,New Zealand          下载免费PDF全文

Tania Villaseñor  John M. Jaeger  Kathleen M. Marsaglia  Greg H. Browne 《Sedimentology》2015,62(4):1118-1148

Determining the relative influence of eustasy versus local sedimentary processes on strata formation is a fundamental challenge in the study of continental margin stratigraphy. In this paper, the relative contribution of these factors on continental margin evolution during the Middle to Late Pleistocene is evaluated using samples from Integrated Ocean Drilling Program Expedition 317. Core‐logging, biostratigraphy and quantitative X‐ray diffraction mineralogy are used to delineate continental shelf sedimentary systems. Major lithological unconformities bound stratigraphic sequences that contain recurring compositional patterns and that resemble other examples of Middle to Upper Pleistocene sequences. However, a preliminary chronology suggests that sequence boundary formation cannot be linked ‘one to one’ with eustatic cycles and therefore these sequences can contain multiple ca 100 ka eustatic cycles. Smaller amplitude, higher frequency transitions in sediment composition are interpreted as stratigraphic sequences driven by more rapid perturbations in the interplay of accommodation and sediment supply; their stratigraphy is variable in time and across the shelf, suggesting a strong influence of local sedimentary forcing in their formation. Changes in sediment composition after the Middle Pleistocene Transition indicate that sediment transfer from onshore sources in the glaciated Southern Alps to the middle‐shelf occurred over a single 100 ka glacio‐eustatic cycle, with an additional 100 ka lag before the mineralogical signal was preserved on the outer‐shelf. This phenomenon is coincident with rapid shelf progradation in this basin, suggesting a causal relation between across‐shelf sediment transport and margin progradation. This is one of very few studies that provide insights at the core scale into the processes driving continental margin evolution during the Middle to Late Pleistocene. This work shows that compositional changes in mud‐dominated successions can lead to a sequence stratigraphic interpretation and the identification of high‐frequency sequences, which may not be possible using a conventional stratigraphic approach.  相似文献